花旗預測日元兌港元走勢!最快呢個時間重上6算!

文: 梁穎心
2023.10.05

今日暫見日圓兌港元彷徘徊在5.2-5.3算,仍期待創新低位的朋友留意!花旗銀行日前公布最新外匯分析,預計最快半年日圓兌港元重上6算。展望聯儲局加息周期完結,美元兌日圓或接近130水 平。

根據花旗銀行的外幣匯率及市場展望,分析員認為美元兌日圓好淡因素互相角力。從利好因素的角度來看,美國周期性數據持續造好的勢頭下,市場削減美國減息方面的定價,支持美國國債收益率,進而利好美元兌日圓。

不過,從利淡因素的角度來看,日本央行轉趨鷹派和 財務省干預匯市的風險,可能會限制美元兌日圓的上行空間。長線而言,他們預計美國國債收益率到年底將回落至4% 以下,假設聯儲局完結加息周期,美元兌日圓可能會接近130 水平。

美元兌日圓(截至9月)

0-3個月預測:148(日圓兌港元:約5.3算)

6-12個月預測:130(日圓兌港元:約6算)

長線預測:130.0(日圓兌港元:約6算)

6-12個月:看好日圓兌美元,歐元和人民幣

花旗銀行外幣定期存款

凡以指定貨幣於花旗兌換日圓,並以其兌換貨幣開立1個月定期存款,將可獲得1個月5%(以新資金開立),或4%(以現有資金開立)定期存款年利率優惠。優惠期有限,有興趣人士可與客戶經理查詢。

來源:花旗銀行、HKET圖片庫

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